
Chinese Journal OF Rice Science >
Changes in Safe Production Dates and Heat-light Resources of Double Cropping Rice in Jiangxi Province in Recent 30 Years
Received date: 2015-10-28
Revised date: 2016-02-02
Online published: 2016-05-10
Ascertaining the change rules of safe production dates and heat-light resources of rice is an important basis for high use efficiency of heat-light resources, and high and stable production. In this study, the daily mean temperatures and sunshine hours during the past 30 years (1984—2013) provided by 15 meteorological stations in different ecological regions in Jiangxi Province (Northern Jiangxi, Central Jiangxi and Southern Jiangxi) were analyzed. According to the critical temperature indices for rice safe production dates, the change rules of safe production dates and heat-light resources of double rice with 50% and 80% guarantee rates were provided. The results showed that the safe production dates and heat-light resources changed obviously between the first 15 years(1984—1998) and the second 15 years(1999—2013), and there were certain differences among different regions. Compared with the first 15-year period, the safe sowing dates of early rice seedlings with film-mulching in the second 15-year period were ten-day ahead of time(with the tendency of -4.16 d 10a-1, the same as below), and those of direct seedling shifted to four days earlier(-3.17 d 10a-1); the safe transplanting dates were two-day ahead of time(-2.21 d 10a-1). For late rice, the safe maturity dates were delayed by eight days (3.56 d 10a-1), while those of full heading delayed unobviously. The safe production season for the early rice with film-mulching and direct seedling extended by eighteen (7.72 d 10a-1) and eleven (6.73 d 10a-1) days, respectively. During the safe production season, daily mean temperature increased obviously, accumulated temperature added remarkably, and sunshine hours changed unobviously.Monitoring data showed that, practical production dates were different from the safe production dates, though the practical production dates were adjusted correspondingly in recent years. So the safe production dates under 80% guarantee rate over the past 30 years were obtained by each meteorological stations, which can be referred in production arrangement, planting patterns and varieties collocation for double rice in the regions nearby. Finally, according to the trends of climate changes, the possible adaptive strategies of agronomic measures were discussed.
Key words: Jiangxi Province; double rice; safe production date; heat-light resources
Wei-sheng LÜ, Yong-jun ZENG, Qing-hua SHI, Xiao-hua PAN, Shan HUANG, Qing-yin SHANG, Xue-ming TAN, Mu-ying LI, Shui-xiu HU, Yan-hua ZENG . Changes in Safe Production Dates and Heat-light Resources of Double Cropping Rice in Jiangxi Province in Recent 30 Years[J]. Chinese Journal OF Rice Science, 2016 , 30(3) : 323 -334 . DOI: 10.16819/j.1001-7216.2016.5157
| [1] | Crowley T J.Causes of climate change over the past 1000 years.Science, 2000, 289: 270-277. |
| [2] | Cox P M, Betts R A, Jones C D, et al.Acceleration of global warming due to carbon-cycle feedbacks in a coupled climate model.Nature, 2000, 408: 184-187. |
| [3] | IPCC. Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. UK: Cambridge University Press, 2007: 237-241. |
| [4] | Oreskes N.The scientific consensus on climate change.Science, 2004, 306: 1686. |
| [5] | IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 2014. . |
| [6] | 高晓获, 江志红, 杨金虎. 全球变暖情景下中国气温分区的未来变化. 气象与环境学报, 2009, 25(5): 1-6. |
| [6] | Gao X H, Jiang Z H, Yang J H.Future changes of air temperature division in China under global warming.J Meteorol Environ, 2009, 25(5): 1-6. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [7] | 唐国利, 丁一汇, 王绍武, 等. 中国近百年温度曲线的对比分析. 气候变化研究进展, 2009, 5(2): 71-78. |
| [7] | Tang G L, Ding Y H, Wang S W, et al.Comparative analysis of the time series of surface air temperature over China for the last 100 years.Adv Climate Change Res, 2009,5(2): 71-78. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [8] | 卢冬梅, 罗倩仪, 刘文英, 等. 江西近40 年温度变化及对农业生产的影响. 江西农业大学学报, 2003, 25: 5357. |
| [8] | Lu D M, Luo Q Y, Liu W Y, et al.Variance of temperature and its influence on farming production in the past 40 years in Jiangxi Province.Acta Agric Univ Jiangxiensis, 2003, 25: 53-57. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [9] | 黄晚华, 刘晓波, 邓伟. 湖南农业气象要素变化及对主要农作物的影响. 湖南农业科学, 2009, (1): 61-64. |
| [9] | Huang W H, Liu X B, Deng W.Meteorological elements change and its effect to main crop in Hunan Province.Hunan Agric Sci, 2009(1): 61-64. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [10] | 刘颖杰, 林而达. 气候变暖对中国不同地区农业的影响. 气候变化研究进展, 2007, 3(4): 229-233. |
| [10] | Liu Y J, Lin E D.Effects of climate change on agriculture in different regions of China.Adv Climate Change Res, 2007, 3(4): 229-233. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [11] | 杨晓光, 刘志娟, 陈阜. 全球气候变暖对中国种植制度可能影响: I.气候变暖对中国种植制度北界和粮食产量可能影响的分析. 中国农业科学, 2010, 43: 329-336. |
| [11] | Yang X G, Liu Z J, Chen F.The possible effects of global warming on Cropping Systems in China: I. The possible effects of climate warming on northern limits of cropping systems and crop yields in China.Sci Agric Sin, 2010, 43: 329-336. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [12] | 郭瑞鸽, 刘寿东, 杜筱玲. 江西气温稳定通过10℃初日变化及其对双季早稻物候期的影响. 中国农业气象, 2011, 32(1): 12-16. |
| [12] | Guo R G, Liu S D, Du X L.Daily variation of beginning date of 10℃ and its impacts on phenological period of double-season early rice in Jiangxi.Chin J Agrom, 2011, 32(1): 12-16. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [13] | 张祖建, 张洪熙, 杨建昌, 等. 江苏近50年粳稻安全齐穗期的变化. 作物学报, 2011, 37: 146-151. |
| [13] | Zhang Z J, Zhang H X, Yang J C, et al.Changes of safe dates for full heading in japonica rice over past 50 years in Jiangsu Province.Acta Agron Sin, 2011, 37: 146-151. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [14] | 徐晶晶, 黎泉, 李刚华, 等. 江苏水稻安全成熟期的时空演变研究. 南京农业大学学报, 2013, 36(4): 1-6. |
| [14] | Xu J J, Li Q, Li G H, et al.The study of spatial and temporal characteristics of safe maturity dates of rice in Jiangsu Province.J Nanjing Agric Univ, 2013, 36(4) : 1-6. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [15] | 艾治勇, 郭夏宇, 刘文祥, 等. 长江中游地区双季稻安全生产日期的变化. 作物学报, 2014, 40(7): 1320-1329. |
| [15] | Ai Z Y, Guo X Y, LIU W X, et al.Changes of safe production dates of double-season rice in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River.Acta Agron Sin, 2014, 40(7): 1320-1329. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [16] | Song Y L, Linderholm H W, Chen D L, et al.Trends of the thermal growing season in China, 1951-2007.Inter J Climatol, 2010, 30: 3-43. |
| [17] | 葛道阔, 金之庆. 气候及其变率变化对长江中下游稻区水稻生产的影响. 中国水稻科学, 2009, 23: 57-64. |
| [17] | Ge D K, Jin Z Q.Impacts of climate change and its variability on rice production in the middle and lower valley of the Yangtze River, China.Chin J Rice Sci, 2009, 23: 57-64. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [18] | 郭建平, 高素华, 刘玲. 气象条件对作物品质和产量影响的试验研究. 气候与环境研究, 2001, 6: 361-367. |
| [18] | Guo J P, Gao S H, Liu L.An experimental study of the impacts of meteorological condition on crops qualities and yield.Climatic Environ Res, 2001, 6: 361-367. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [19] | Peng S, Huang J L, Sheehy J E, et al.Rice yield decline with higher night temperature from global warming.Proc Natl Acad Sci USA, 2004, 101: 9971-9975. |
| [20] | Tao F L, Yokozawa M, Xu Y L, et al.Climate changes and trends in phenology and yields of field crops in China, 1981-2000.Agric Forest Meteorol, 2006,138: 82-92. |
| [21] | 张国发, 王绍华, 尤娟, 等. 结实期不同时段高温对稻米品质的影响. 作物学报, 2006, 32(2): 283-287. |
| [21] | Zhang G F, Wang S H, You J, et al.Effect of higher temperature in different filling stages on rice qualities.Acta Agron Sin, 2006, 32(2): 283-287. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [22] | 杨建昌, 杜永, 刘辉. 长江下游稻麦周年超高产栽培途径与技术. 中国农业科学, 2008, 41(6): 1611-1621. |
| [22] | Yang J C, Du Y, Liu H.Cultivation approaches and techniques for annual super-high-yielding of rice and wheat in the lower reaches of Yangtze River.Sci Agric Sin, 2008, 41(6):1611-1621. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [23] | Yu Y, Huang Y, Zhang W.Changes in rice yields in China since 1980 associated with cultivar improvement, climate and crop management.Field Crops Res, 2012, 136: 65-75. |
| [24] | 石庆华, 潘晓华. 双季水稻生产技术问答. 南昌: 江西科学技术出版社, 2010: 1-46. |
| [24] | Shi Q H, Pan X H.Question Answering of Production Technique of Double Rice. Nanchang:Jiangxi Science and Technology Press, 2010: 1-46. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [25] | 高亮之, 郭鹏, 张立中, 林武. 中国水稻的光温资源与生产力. 中国农业科学, 1984, 17(1): 17-23. |
| [25] | Gao L Z, Guo P, Zhang L Z, et al.Light and resources and potential productive of rice in China.Sci Agric Sin, 1984, 17(1): 17-23. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [26] | 马国辉. 南方三熟稻区双季稻超高产栽培研究进展. 中国农业科技导报, 2000, 2(3): 16-21. |
| [26] | Ma G H.The research progress of the super high-yield cultivation for double rice under tri-cropping system in Southern China.Rev China Agric Sci Technol, 2000, 2(3): 16-21. (in Chinese withEnglish abstract) |
| [27] | 潘晓华, 李木英, 曾勇军, 等. 江西双季稻主要种植方式及其配套栽培对策. 江西农业大学学报, 2013, 35(1): 1-6. |
| [27] | Pan X H, Li M Y, Zeng Y J, et al.Main planting patterns and their relevant cultivation practices for the double rice in Jiangxi Province.Acta Agric Univ Jiangxiensis, 2013, 35(1): 1-6. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [28] | 李木英, 石庆华, 潘晓华. 江西省直播稻发展趋势与存在的问题及对策. 现代农业科技, 2005, 21: 236-238. |
| [28] | Li M Y, Shi Q H, Pan X H.Trends, problems and strategies of direct-seeded rice development in Jiangxi Province.Modern Agric Sci and Technol, 2005, 21: 236-238. (in Chinese) |
| [29] | 朱德峰, 陈惠哲, 徐一成, 等. 我国双季稻生产机械化制约因子与发展对策. 中国稻米, 2013, 19(4): 1-4. |
| [29] | Zhu D F, Chen H Z, Xu Y C, et al.The countermeasures for development and constricting factors of mechanization of double rice planting in China.China Rice, 2013, 19(4): 1-4. (in Chinese) |
| [30] | 曲曼丽. 农业气候实习指导. 北京: 北京农业大学出版社, 1990: 1-8. |
| [30] | Qu M L. Agroclimate Practice Instruction. Beijing: Beijing Agricultural University Publishers, 1990: 1-8. (in Chinese) |
| [31] | 涂方旭. 广西水稻主要生育期气候条件分析. 广西农业科学, 2006, 37(4): 370-373. |
| [31] | Tu F X.Analysis on climate conditions in main rice growth and development stages in Guangxi.Guangxi Agric Sci, 2006, 37(4): 370-373. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [32] | 高亮之, 李林, 金之庆. 中国水稻的气候资源与气候生态研究. 农业科技通讯, 1986, (4): 5-8. |
| [32] | Gao L Z, Li L, Jing Z Q.Climatic resources and climatic ecology research of Chinese rice.Bull Agric Sci Technol, 1986, (4): 5-8. (in Chinese) |
| [33] | 赵锦, 杨晓光, 刘志娟, 等. 全球气候变暖对中国种植制度可能影响: II. 南方地区气候要素变化特征及对种植制度界限可能影响. 中国农业科学, 2010, 43: 1860-1867. |
| [33] | Zhao J, Yang X G, Liu Z J, et al.The possible effect of global climate changes on cropping systems boundary in China: II. The characteristics of climatic variables and the possible effect on northern limits of cropping systems in South China.Sci Agric Sin, 2010, 43: 1860-1867. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [34] | 刘文英, 张显真, 简海燕. 江西近50年寒露风演变趋势及其对双季晚稻的影响. 气象与减灾研究, 2009, 32(4): 67-71. |
| [34] | Liu Wen Y, Zhang X Z, Jian H Y.Evolution trend of cold-dew wind in recent 50 years in Jiangxi province and its influence on late double-harvest rice.Meteorol Dis Red Res, 2009, 32(4): 67-71. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [35] | 薛大伟, 方茂庭, 钱前. 有效积温在水稻生产中的应用. 中国稻米, 2004(4): 47-48. |
| [35] | Xue D W, Fang M T, Qian Q.The utilization of effective accumulated temperature in rice production.China Rice, 2004(4): 47-48. (in Chinese) |
| [36] | 冯明, 刘可群, 毛飞. 湖北省气候变化与主要农业气象灾害的响应. 中国农业科学, 2007, 40: 1646-1653. |
| [36] | Feng M, Liu K Q, Mao F.Climate change and main response to agrometeorological disasters in Hubei Province.Sci Agric Sin, 2007, 40: 1646-1653. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [37] | 艾治勇, 郭夏宇, 刘文祥, 等. 农业气候资源变化对双季稻生产的可能影响分析. 自然资源学报, 2014, 29(12): 2089-2102. |
| [37] | Ai Z Y, Guo X Y, Liu W X, et al.Analysis on possible influences of agricultural climate resources change on double-season rice production.J Nat Resour, 2014, 29(12): 2089-2102. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [38] | 魏金连, 潘晓华. 鄱阳湖区近40年来双季稻生长期间的气温变化趋势. 安徽农业科学, 2009, 37(27): 12995-12997, 13017. |
| [38] | Wei J L, Pan X H.Changing trend of air temprature during the growth period of double cropping rice in Poyang lake region in the recent 40 years.J Anhui Agric Sci, 2009, 37(27): 12995-12997, 13017. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [39] | 蔡哲, 刘冬梅, 辜晓青, 等. 基于GIS的江西省农业气候资源小网格推算研究. 江西农业大学学报, 2010, 32(4): 842-846. |
| [39] | Cai Z, Liu D M, Gu X Q, et al.Simulation of agricultural climate resources based on GIS in Jiangxi Province.Acta Agric Univ Jiangxiensis, 2010,32(4): 842-846. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [40] | 程飞虎, 周培建. 江西适度发展粳稻的探索与思考. 中国农技推广, 2012, 28(1): 8-9. |
| [40] | Cheng F H, Zhou P J.The exploration and reflection about developing japonica rice in Jiangxi Province.China Agric Technol Exten, 2012, 28(1): 8-9. (in Chinese) |
| [41] | 黄山, 何虎, 张卫星, 等. 不同粳稻品种在江西不同生态区的农学表现. 江西农业大学学报, 2013,35(1): 25-32. |
| [41] | Huang S, He H, Zhang W X, et al.Agronomic performance of different japonica rice varieties in different eco-regions in Jiangxi Province.Acta Agric Univ Jiangxiensis, 2013, 35(1): 25-32. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [42] | 黄大山, 曹开蔚, 程飞虎. 一季粳稻作双季晚稻高产栽培技术. 中国稻米, 2010, 16(4): 40-42. |
| [42] | Huang D S, Cao K W, Chen F H.High-yield cultivation technique of single japonica rice using for late rice.China Rice, 2010, 16(4): 40-42. (in Chinese) |
| [43] | 张洪程, 许轲, 张军, 等. 双季晚粳生产力及相关生理生态特征. 作物学报, 2014, 40(2): 283-300. |
| [43] | Zhang H C, Xu K, Zhang J, et al.Productivity and eco-physiological characteristics of late japonica rice in double-cropping system.Acta Agron Sin, 2014, 40(2): 283-300. (in Chinese with English abstract) |
| [44] | 石庆华. 江西双季早稻机插高产栽培技术规程. 南方农机, 2015, 02: 26-28. |
| [44] | Shi Q H.High-yield cultivation technique regulation of machine-transplanted early rice in Jiangxi Province.South Agric Machin, 2015, 02: 26-28. (in Chinese) |
| [45] | 石庆华. 江西双季晚稻机插高产栽培技术规程. 南方农机, 2015, 03: 8-9, 18. |
| [45] | Shi Q H.High-yield cultivation technique regulation of machine-transplanted late rice in Jiangxi Province.South Agric Machin, 2015, 03: 8-9, 18. (in Chinese) |
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |